A lease-analysis desk with papers and a laptop. Teaching context only. No people shown.

commercial lease npv

What discount rate should you use?

What discount rate should you use?

The discount rate is the price of waiting. Pick one rate the client can defend, write it down, and test nearby rates. Do not hide a rate that was chosen only to crown a winner.

The page belongs to a validation / pilot concept. It is not generally available.

See sensitivity analysis

Questions people ask next

What is a discount rate?

A discount rate is the price of waiting. It shrinks later lease cash so a tenant can compare timing.

Should each landlord get a different rate?

A tenant should use one rate on every lease option, then test nearby rates instead of changing the rule.

Can the rate flip a rank?

A one or two point rate move can swap a lease winner when credits sit early and rent sits late. A tenant should keep this lease answer visible on the same page.

Where do you show it?

The rate should sit on the same page as the lease total. A hidden cell does not help a client.

This question sits on the commercial-lease-npv hub.

See the comparison workflow after the idea is clear.

The how it works page shows the four-step path.

Go deeper on How is lease NPV calculated?.

Plain-language definition

A discount rate is a percent you use to shrink later cash.

NPV means net present value. The rate is the knob on that shrink.

A higher rate makes later rent look smaller today. A lower rate keeps later rent heavy.

The rate is not magic. It is an assumption you must show.

Empty conference room used as editorial background. Not a customer photo.

Why it matters

Two honest teams can pick different rates and get different winners.

If you do not show the rate, the ranking looks more sure than it is.

A CFO will ask where the rate came from. A brochure cannot answer that.

Sensitivity exists because this one number can flip a close race.

How it works

The cash flow is the list of money in and out by year. Write that list first.

  • Ask what else the firm could do with the cash. That is one way people pick a rate.
  • Some teams use a cost of capital. Some use a simple hurdle they already use for projects.
  • Do not invent a precise rate from thin air and then treat it as fact.
  • Run the same leases at two or three nearby rates and show if the rank holds.
Later cash boxes sit farther right and look smaller than year-one cash.
Later cash is smaller in today's dollars. This is a teaching picture, not a live model.

Formula in words. Later cash today = later cash / (1 + discount rate) to the power of the year.

Required inputs for this page
InputMeaning
Candidate rateThe main rate you will show
Low testA nearby lower rate
High testA nearby higher rate
Lease cashThe same occupancy cash in every test

Worked example

Here is a teaching sample. It is not customer data and not a result from a live client.

Lease A start rent$38,000
Lease B start rent$35,340
Discount rate8%
Sample NPV A$371,164
Lease A vs Lease B — the rate-test lease
MetricLease ALease B
Start rent$38,000$35,340
Year-1 extras$10,000$10,700
Year-1 credit$8,000$4,400
Sample NPV$371,164$358,569
Cash-flow walk — the rate-test lease
YearRentExtrasCreditCash outValue today
Year 1$38,000$10,000$8,000$40,000$37,037
Year 2$39,900$10,300$0$50,200$43,038
Year 3$41,895$10,609$0$52,504$41,679
Year 4$43,990$10,927$0$54,917$40,366
Year 5$46,189$11,255$0$57,444$39,095
Year 6$47,575$11,593$0$59,168$37,286
Year 7$49,002$11,941$0$60,943$35,560
Year 8$50,472$12,299$0$62,771$33,913
Year 9$51,986$12,668$0$64,654$32,343
Year 10$53,546$13,048$0$66,594$30,846
Sample NPV$371,164
Two bars on one scale for Lease A and Lease B. Teaching sample only.
Both options use the same rate. The lower bar is not automatically the better lease.

How to read the sample

Sample NPV for the rate-test lease is about $371,164. A second path lands near $358,569. That gap is a talking point, not a promise.

A small credit lands early. If one path wins only because a credit sat in the wrong year, start over.

Year notes for the rate-test lease

  • Year 1 of the rate-test lease has rent of $38,000.
  • Shared building cost is $10,000.
  • A credit of $8,000 lowers the cash you pay that year.
  • Cash out this year is about $40,000. A small credit lands early.
  • Later cash gets a shrink for time. At 8 percent, year 1 is worth about $37,037 today.
  • Next, year 2 rent is $39,900.
  • CAM, which is a shared building cost, is $10,300.
  • There is no credit in this year.
  • You pay about $50,200 this year after extras and credits. The step-up is the point of this sample.
  • Time shrinks later cash. At 8 percent, year 2 is worth about $43,038 today.
  • Then year 3 rent is $41,895.
  • Extras for the building come to $10,609.
  • Credits skip this year.
  • The net cash this year is about $52,504. Later years get heavier if the rate is low.
  • Waiting has a price. At 8 percent, year 3 is worth about $41,679 today.
  • After that, year 4 rent is $43,990.
  • The shared building cost this time is $10,927.
  • No extra credit shows up this year.
  • Cash out this year is about $54,917. A high rate shrinks these years hard.
  • Later cash gets a shrink for time. At 8 percent, year 4 is worth about $40,366 today.
  • In year 5 of the rate-test lease, rent is $46,189.
  • Shared building cost is $11,255.
  • There is no credit in this year.
  • You pay about $57,444 this year after extras and credits. The last year is where rate fights show up.
  • Time shrinks later cash. At 8 percent, year 5 is worth about $39,095 today.
  • Year 6 of the rate-test lease has rent of $47,575.
  • CAM, which is a shared building cost, is $11,593.
  • Credits skip this year.
  • The net cash this year is about $59,168. Keep this later year in the sum for the sample.
  • Waiting has a price. At 8 percent, year 6 is worth about $37,286 today.
  • Next, year 7 rent is $49,002.
  • Extras for the building come to $11,941.
  • No extra credit shows up this year.
  • Cash out this year is about $60,943. The row still belongs in the sum for the long path.
  • Later cash gets a shrink for time. At 8 percent, year 7 is worth about $35,560 today.
  • Then year 8 rent is $50,472.
  • The shared building cost this time is $12,299.
  • There is no credit in this year.
  • You pay about $62,771 this year after extras and credits. Keep this later year in the sum for the long path.
  • Time shrinks later cash. At 8 percent, year 8 is worth about $33,913 today.
  • After that, year 9 rent is $51,986.
  • Shared building cost is $12,668.
  • Credits skip this year.
  • The net cash this year is about $64,654. The row still belongs in the sum for the long path.
  • Waiting has a price. At 8 percent, year 9 is worth about $32,343 today.
  • In year 10 of the rate-test lease, rent is $53,546.
  • CAM, which is a shared building cost, is $13,048.
  • No extra credit shows up this year.
  • Cash out this year is about $66,594. Keep this later year in the sum for the long path.
  • Later cash gets a shrink for time. At 8 percent, year 10 is worth about $30,846 today.

Add those year values. The sample NPV for the rate-test lease is about $371,164. This is a teaching sample, not a client result.

See the comparison workflow

Assumptions

  • We show 8 percent as the main teaching rate.
  • A real firm may use another rate. Write theirs, not ours.
  • The cash list stays fixed while the rate moves.
  • No inflation plug is hiding in the rate.

Edge cases

If cash is monthly, say whether the rate is annual.

Do not mix a real-estate cap rate into this occupancy tool without saying so.

A tax-exempt group may use a different hurdle than a retailer.

If the client has no rate, show a range instead of a fake exact number.

Common mistakes

  • Picking a rate after you know which lease you like.
  • Using 0 percent and calling it conservative.
  • Using 20 percent to make later escalations disappear.
  • Changing only one option's rate.

Decision implications

If the winner holds at nearby rates, say that. It builds trust.

If the winner flips, say that too. That is the point of the test.

Do not bury the rate in a footnote no one reads.

Compare this to related metrics

A cap rate is not this discount rate.

An interest rate on a loan is related but not the same input.

Inflation and discounting are easy to mix. Keep them labeled.

Limits

  • This page does not pick your firm's official rate.
  • It does not replace a finance policy.

When this should not drive the choice

  • Do not spend an hour debating the third decimal when the CAM line is blank.

Next step

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Trusted sources

These are public references. They are not endorsements and not client results.

  1. Investopedia — discount rate
  2. Investopedia — net present value
  3. FASB