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lease financial modeling

What inputs belong in a commercial lease model?

What inputs belong in a commercial lease model?

Dates, rent steps, extras, credits, and the rate. A missing date can lie louder than a wrong formula.

This page belongs to a validation / pilot concept. It is not generally available.

Questions this page also answers

What is the first input?

Start date, end date, and size.

Where does CAM sit?

On the input sheet, not inside a hidden formula.

Where does the rate sit?

In one cell that every year reads.

What is the usual miss?

A free-rent month or a wrong expiry.

Plain-language definition

A model is only as honest as its inputs.

Most failures start in the abstract, not in Excel.

If an input can change cash, it belongs on the input sheet.

This page sits under Lease financial modeling.

Treat CAM as an input, not a vibe.

Time credits on the input sheet.

The rate is an input you show, not a buried constant.

Most mistakes start here.

Investopedia defines net present value as later cash brought back to today. That idea is the spine of this page. See Investopedia on NPV.

Editorial commercial interior used as section context. Not a customer photo.

Why it matters

Public modeling notes say many errors are bad inputs, not bad math.

A wrong end date hides rollover.

A missing free-rent month inflates the stream.

How it works

Write the cash list first. Then decide what the page is measuring.

  • Put identity and dates first.
  • Put rent steps and extras next.
  • Put credits in the months they happen.
  • Put the rate in one cell.
  • Keep calculations off the input sheet.
Later cash boxes sit farther right and look smaller than year-one cash.
Later cash is smaller in today's dollars. This is a teaching picture, not a live model.

Formula in words. Honest model = dated inputs + extras + credits + one rate + checks.

Required inputs for this page
InputMeaning
Start and endThe calendar
Rent stepsWhen the sticker changes
ExtrasCAM, tax, insurance
CreditsFree rent and TI
RatePrice of waiting

Worked example

Here is a teaching sample. It is not customer data and not a result from a live client.

Lease A start rent$39,500
Lease B start rent$36,735
Discount rate8%
Sample NPV A$358,846
Lease A vs Lease B — Input-sheet sample
MetricLease ALease B
Start rent$39,500$36,735
Year-1 extras$9,500$10,165
Year-1 credit$12,000$6,600
Sample NPV$358,846$347,992
Cash-flow walk — Input-sheet sample
YearRentExtrasCreditCash outValue today
Year 1$39,500$9,500$12,000$37,000$34,259
Year 2$40,685$9,785$0$50,470$43,270
Year 3$41,906$10,079$0$51,985$41,267
Year 4$43,163$10,381$0$53,544$39,356
Year 5$44,458$10,692$0$55,150$37,534
Year 6$45,792$11,013$0$56,805$35,797
Year 7$47,166$11,343$0$58,509$34,139
Year 8$48,581$11,683$0$60,264$32,559
Year 9$50,038$12,033$0$62,071$31,051
Year 10$51,539$12,394$0$63,933$29,613
Sample NPV$358,846
Two bars on one scale for Lease A and Lease B. Teaching sample only.
Both options use the same rate. The lower bar is not automatically the better lease.

How to read the sample

Sample NPV for Input-sheet sample is about $358,846. A second path lands near $347,992. That gap is a talking point, not a promise.

Year notes for Input-sheet sample

  • Year 1 of Input-sheet sample has rent of $39,500.
  • Shared building cost is $9,500.
  • A credit of $12,000 lowers the cash you pay that year.
  • Cash out this year is about $37,000. The date of this credit is the input that matters.
  • Later cash gets a shrink for time. At 8 percent, year 1 is worth about $34,259 today.
  • Next, year 2 rent is $40,685.
  • CAM, which is a shared building cost, is $9,785.
  • There is no credit in this year.
  • You pay about $50,470 this year after extras and credits. Year two has no credit and a clean extra stack.
  • Time shrinks later cash. At 8 percent, year 2 is worth about $43,270 today.
  • Then year 3 rent is $41,906.
  • Extras for the building come to $10,079.
  • Credits skip this year.
  • The net cash this year is about $51,985. The bump is an input, not a hardcoded later cell.
  • Waiting has a price. At 8 percent, year 3 is worth about $41,267 today.
  • After that, year 4 rent is $43,163.
  • The shared building cost this time is $10,381.
  • No extra credit shows up this year.
  • Cash out this year is about $53,544. Later years should change when the bump cell changes.
  • Later cash gets a shrink for time. At 8 percent, year 4 is worth about $39,356 today.
  • In year 5 of Input-sheet sample, rent is $44,458.
  • Shared building cost is $10,692.
  • There is no credit in this year.
  • You pay about $55,150 this year after extras and credits. The last year proves the end date you typed.
  • Time shrinks later cash. At 8 percent, year 5 is worth about $37,534 today.
  • Year 6 of Input-sheet sample has rent of $45,792.
  • CAM, which is a shared building cost, is $11,013.
  • Credits skip this year.
  • The net cash this year is about $56,805. Keep this later year in the sum for the sample.
  • Waiting has a price. At 8 percent, year 6 is worth about $35,797 today.
  • Next, year 7 rent is $47,166.
  • Extras for the building come to $11,343.
  • No extra credit shows up this year.
  • Cash out this year is about $58,509. The row still belongs in the sum for the long path.
  • Later cash gets a shrink for time. At 8 percent, year 7 is worth about $34,139 today.
  • Then year 8 rent is $48,581.
  • The shared building cost this time is $11,683.
  • There is no credit in this year.
  • You pay about $60,264 this year after extras and credits. Keep this later year in the sum for the long path.
  • Time shrinks later cash. At 8 percent, year 8 is worth about $32,559 today.
  • After that, year 9 rent is $50,038.
  • Shared building cost is $12,033.
  • Credits skip this year.
  • The net cash this year is about $62,071. The row still belongs in the sum for the long path.
  • Waiting has a price. At 8 percent, year 9 is worth about $31,051 today.
  • In year 10 of Input-sheet sample, rent is $51,539.
  • CAM, which is a shared building cost, is $12,394.
  • No extra credit shows up this year.
  • Cash out this year is about $63,933. Keep this later year in the sum for the long path.
  • Later cash gets a shrink for time. At 8 percent, year 10 is worth about $29,613 today.

Add those year values. The sample NPV for Input-sheet sample is about $358,846. This is a teaching sample, not a client result.

Read common mistakes

Assumptions

  • Every later year in a live file should be a formula, not a paste.

Edge cases

Renewal probability is an input if you model a hold past expiry.

Common mistakes

  • Hardcoding a year. Leaving free rent off. Using last year's CAM as a law.

Decision implications

If an input is a guess, mark it and test it.

Compare this to related metrics

See how to build the cash-flow model after the inputs exist.

See common mistakes for the autopsy.

Limits

  • A complete input sheet still needs a human abstract.

When this should not drive the choice

  • Do not start fancy cases before dates are right.

U.S. BLS describes how brokers advise clients on property deals. That is the job this page supports. See BLS broker occupation data.

NAIOP and BOMA are professional CRE homes for market and building-cost context. See NAIOP and BOMA.

Next step

This site is a validation / pilot concept. It is not generally available. Payment is not collected.

See How the Workflow Works

Ready for a bounded next step? Request Pilot Access or see how it works and compare commercial leases.

How do you build a lease cash-flow model?

Trusted sources

These are public references. They are not endorsements and not client results.

  1. Investopedia — net present value
  2. Investopedia — discount rate
  3. U.S. BLS — real estate brokers
  4. NAIOP
  5. BOMA
  6. FASB