Worked example Here is a teaching sample. It is not customer data and not a result from a live client.
Lease A start rent $39,000
Lease B start rent $36,270
Discount rate 8%
Sample NPV A $357,531
Lease A vs Lease B — the long-term path Metric Lease A Lease B Start rent $39,000 $36,270 Year-1 extras $9,500 $10,165 Year-1 credit $5,000 $2,750 Sample NPV $357,531 $344,305
Cash-flow walk — the long-term path Year Rent Extras Credit Cash out Value today Year 1 $39,000 $9,500 $5,000 $43,500 $40,278 Year 2 $39,975 $9,785 $0 $49,760 $42,661 Year 3 $40,974 $10,079 $0 $51,053 $40,528 Year 4 $41,999 $10,381 $0 $52,380 $38,501 Year 5 $43,049 $10,692 $0 $53,741 $36,575 Year 6 $44,340 $11,013 $0 $55,353 $34,882 Year 7 $45,670 $11,343 $0 $57,013 $33,267 Year 8 $47,040 $11,683 $0 $58,723 $31,726 Year 9 $48,451 $12,033 $0 $60,484 $30,257 Year 10 $49,905 $12,394 $0 $62,299 $28,856 Sample NPV — — — — $357,531
Both options use the same rate. The lower bar is not automatically the better lease. How to read the sample Sample NPV for the long-term path is about $357,531. A second path lands near $344,305. That gap is a talking point, not a promise.
Year one of a longer path still needs a credit note. If one path wins only because a credit sat in the wrong year, start over.
Year notes for the long-term path Year 1 of the long-term path has rent of $39,000. Shared building cost is $9,500. A credit of $5,000 lowers the cash you pay that year. Cash out this year is about $43,500. Year one of a longer path still needs a credit note. Later cash gets a shrink for time. At 8 percent, year 1 is worth about $40,278 today. Next, year 2 rent is $39,975. CAM, which is a shared building cost, is $9,785. There is no credit in this year. You pay about $49,760 this year after extras and credits. Shared-window years should match the short deal's years. Time shrinks later cash. At 8 percent, year 2 is worth about $42,661 today. Then year 3 rent is $40,974. Extras for the building come to $10,079. Credits skip this year. The net cash this year is about $51,053. From here a 10-year deal keeps going. Waiting has a price. At 8 percent, year 3 is worth about $40,528 today. After that, year 4 rent is $41,999. The shared building cost this time is $10,381. No extra credit shows up this year. Cash out this year is about $52,380. These later years are the extra product. Later cash gets a shrink for time. At 8 percent, year 4 is worth about $38,501 today. In year 5 of the long-term path, rent is $43,049. Shared building cost is $10,692. There is no credit in this year. You pay about $53,741 this year after extras and credits. Do not hide them inside an average. Time shrinks later cash. At 8 percent, year 5 is worth about $36,575 today. Year 6 of the long-term path has rent of $44,340. CAM, which is a shared building cost, is $11,013. Credits skip this year. The net cash this year is about $55,353. Keep this later year in the sum for the sample. Waiting has a price. At 8 percent, year 6 is worth about $34,882 today. Next, year 7 rent is $45,670. Extras for the building come to $11,343. No extra credit shows up this year. Cash out this year is about $57,013. The row still belongs in the sum for the long path. Later cash gets a shrink for time. At 8 percent, year 7 is worth about $33,267 today. Then year 8 rent is $47,040. The shared building cost this time is $11,683. There is no credit in this year. You pay about $58,723 this year after extras and credits. Keep this later year in the sum for the long path. Time shrinks later cash. At 8 percent, year 8 is worth about $31,726 today. After that, year 9 rent is $48,451. Shared building cost is $12,033. Credits skip this year. The net cash this year is about $60,484. The row still belongs in the sum for the long path. Waiting has a price. At 8 percent, year 9 is worth about $30,257 today. In year 10 of the long-term path, rent is $49,905. CAM, which is a shared building cost, is $12,394. No extra credit shows up this year. Cash out this year is about $62,299. Keep this later year in the sum for the long path. Later cash gets a shrink for time. At 8 percent, year 10 is worth about $28,856 today. Add those year values. The sample NPV for the long-term path is about $357,531. This is a teaching sample, not a client result.
Test the assumptions